Congratulations to Bartoli

I am very happy that Bartoli won Wimbledon.
Congratulations from Babypuntz blog.
I will try to answer emails today. News for the summer coming after wimbledon.

Good trades
r9.

Day 1 Wimbledon details

As promised to the readers:

Nadal vs Darcis

Avoided backing Darcis at low prices. A lot of people were doing this and was very very risky because the market would comeback when Nadal won the serv game. 50 ticks or more very quickly. This match demanded a lot of experience.
There was a lot of value laying darcis at some of those chances without much risk.

Mladenovic vs Sharapova

Mladenovic was doing a lot of work with her serv and i wanted to test her under pressure. So She was up 6.5 and i decided to back Sharapova here to create something like a backup for the tie break that would guarantee me that i would not lose a lot if Mladenovic did not fail under pressure.
Note: I decided my risk before the trade and exit points.

Voegele vs Cirstea

Difficult match to trade. Because Cirstea was making more winners but Voegele was more consistent.

In the end Cirstea won the most important points and she won.

Cornet vs King

Cornet was clearly the best player in the court after a while.Just had to find good positions to enter.

Errani vs Puig

Very difficult match to trade. The key here was to understand when the market starts to change the opinion about who is going to win the match, not who is playing better right now.
Puig was clearly playing better but the market would give Errani the edge. When the market starts to give the edge to Puig thats when you have to enter because there is a lot of people losing money, going crazy in Puig and you can earn a lot of ticks without risk.
 
good trades
r9

Possible Gift to the readers - Day 1 Wimbledon - 5 comments away

I will not cover Wimbledon in this blog but i would like to explain the first day if there are at least 5 comments of different readers in this post. Just say something you want. For example how was your first day at wimbledon.

good trades
r9

Review of the day (22/06/13) (Final day of mini series)

Halep vs Flipkens

Great match! Everything went according to my plan. I expected Halep to be much better after a great week and expected Flipkens to rely a lot on the server, and she took some time to get it going and the rain delay was perfect in my opinion.

Hampton vs Vesnina

Very very frustrating match. Hampton just lost every big battle. The match got very unpredictable at some point but vesnina showed some experience. A lot of wind.


I hope that you liked this 3 day mini series of daily reviews. More will come on the future.
Good Wimbledon.

If you have some topic that you would like me to cover just leave a comment.

good trades
r9

Review of the day

Flipkens vs Muguruza

Experience and pace to win the match.

Hampton vs Wozniacki

Very complicated match. The rule that i shared yesterday was key to prevent a big loss from happening.

Wickmayer vs Vesnina

Wickmayer started very aggressively but her service was really bad. She needs to practise that service way more. This was the easiest match to trade because i have been following Vesnina from the start of this competition.

Dodig vs Lopez

Did some trades pre match that allowed me to risk a little more. During the match just did two trades.
There was a lot of value in this match since Lopez's service was getting better each game.

Seppi vs Simon

Simon was winning most of second serv points and i was not expecting that he would allow a very passive Seppi to comeback in the first set.


good trades
r9



 

Wta player profile / rule / nba / Question for the readers / Free time section

final results today

Hello traders, how are you?

Today i was planning to talk about a study case but instead i will talk about something new.
I am going to talk about a player profile for wta that is very useful in grass.

(WTA)

Have you ever experienced a player that is holding very easily and from nothing goes 0.40 in his service game? In wta is very common and can be very dangerous especially if you back low positions.

What i usually do? I usually stick to try to get in the players that play against these new young players. Especially if there are very good prices and the young players look like they are "dominating".....
Every game is a different game but in the long term this is the best option.

My advice is to be careful with young talent. Especially players that are very aggressive and make every point a one shot challenge.

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A rule that i use that can be very important for you.

Don't go against the big favorite player in very critical situations. NEVER.

This rule will make you more profitable if you follow it 100%, in my opinion.
Most of times it is better to stay away or back the fav.

Reason: It's the favorite. Market will go against you very very quickly and you will not be able to recover from the loss most of times.

There is always an exception of course...

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NBA

Fantastic game 6. I had a big profit but i did not believe it was possible for the heat to get to the overtime.
They did and won the match. The price reached 1.02.
Probably the best nba match i have ever seen.

I have a very clear plan for game 7. In my opinion the heat will win easy if they can outscore in the first quarter or second by double digits. If the spurs hold near the heat the spurs are way more consistent in the 4th quarter. Their team is more balanced than the heat and if Duncan was younger he would kill the heat very easily. Heat need some size inside but that will be difficult to get because of the luxury tax, unless there is a veteran big that wants to get a ring and joins them.


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Question for the blog readers.

What player do you find the most diffcult to profit from?

Cibulkova for me.

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Free time section

good trades
r9

Tennis study case/nba finals/ value in tennis

New post coming later tonight. I hope your trades are working well.
Nba finals game 7 preview later.

good trades
r9