Some minutes ago (1pm) i was trading Rybarikova against Gajdosova. It was 5.2 for Ryba and Gaj held to 5.3 saving two bps and broke to 5.4. She has the mumentum, and i expect a lot of people to go in her to hold for the 5.5. But for me was a very bad position, lets see why:
When it was 5.4 if you add Gaj first serv points and 2nd serv points was near 100% and her first serv was going in near 50%. Her price was around 1.9 (cant remember very well) but in the worst case (gaj holds) we would lose 10-20 ticks and in the best case (ryba breaks) we would win around 40-60 ticks. What position would you take? i backed Ryba . She broke to 0. This is not going to happen all the time but the value was very good looking at the stats and in the long term you will win.
Just one example.
edit: I forgot to say that the position was good because Gaj was having a lot of trouble in all her serv games. If she wasnt maybe the position was not very good to take.
good trades guys
if you liked the post comment
email: babypuntz@gmail.com
r9
