News:
(22/11/2012)
babypuntz-students.blogspot.com is now free for everyone.
Some material is not updated so you should be careful and use it at your own risk.

quinta-feira, 19 de julho de 2012

Reading a tennis match section/ Making changes



Fognini vs Kohlschreiber

Kohlschereiber started really slow and Fognini was dominating most of the points, so i backed some Fognini serv games without risking much because i don't like to have money in Fognini. Simple as that. Fognini is very weak mentally, and his patterns are almost always the same if you study him carefully. At one point of the match (1st set), Fognini was the favorite and i risked really very small because if i got a swing against me it would be huge. At this point i was near 20 %. Kohlschreiber was really playing very slow but fognini started to make some unforced errors at one point and kolhs intensity increased. Fog was going to serv i did not mind risk max 10-20 ticks to get 50+ ticks or something like that because Fog was getting in a bad mumentum. I would say that in that Fog's serv game the probability of break would be 40-50 %, so, that trade had a lot of value. Kohls breaks and i manage to get out at a good price. In my opinion Kohls was playing far from his best (and still managed to win) and Fog was getting more and more frustrated and you know what happens to him, so the second set in my opinion was going to Kohl in the long term (Remember: Everything can happen. My opinion was that but i knew mine max risk). The question now would be to get an entry point that would give me a confortable position. 15-20 ticks for the second set had a lot of value in my opinion. Fognini had a really bad body language. I know that body language. It's basically "i can't win" and he started to risk a lot of shots. That was a good indicator too.
Final result was 70%.

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Making changes in our lifes is very important if we have bad habits. But to change is not easy. Normally the books say, "change your belief that cause that thing" but changing beliefs is not easy and takes some time. You will need a lot of willpower in the process of changing.
Some days ago i was searching for a new book to read and found this incredible book. I really love to read books about human psychology and why we are the way we are and do some things even if we know that we should do other things . This is probably the best non-trading book on that subject that i have read so far this year. The fact that the book is based on science is very important. One thing that you should do is to not believe in everything you read. After reading this book that belief got stronger. A lot of  "self help" books teach you bad strategies that are against the human nature and can damage even more your progress. I can give you a lot of examples, but buy the book and thank me later.





good trades
r9

Sem comentários:

Enviar um comentário