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quinta-feira, 18 de agosto de 2011

One way to choose tennis matches

Today i started giving some opinions before the matches to my two students and i think it can be a good post for the blog. Why? It basically describes one way of choosing matches to trade or bet.

My opinions were:



Mardy Fish v Richard Gasquet


If Mardy plays like he usually does i think he deservs a back from start @ 1.49. He played very well against Novak and he is playing very well. I dont think that he is tired.


David Ferrer v Gilles Simon



Ferrer can have some problems because he hasnt played a lot of Hard Court matches lately but he is very good.


Andrea Petkovic v Petra Kvitova


Kvitova is playing really bad lately. Petko won her 


2011-08-11Rogers Cup (W)Andrea PetkovicHard2:0 » 6:1, 6:2

and i think it can be a similar result if Kvitova plays with the same motivation.



 Roger Federer v James Blake


Federer @ 1.13 looks value. He is playing very well so far.


Ok, lets start with the basic question.
Why did i choose these matches? I looked at betfair tennis page and i try to choose the most predictable matches. There are days were you have a lot of matches and you dont know which one to trade? Choose the one you think that is more predictable for you. Im sure you know some players better then others ,so, take advantage of it.
This advice is simple yet powerful. 


good trades 
r9

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