richard9's betfair trading blog: taking advantage of players body language/ backing low odds/ new experiences / free time section

Hello traders,

Murray won in Cincinnatti playing a great tennis, congratulations, but the topic that i would like to talk about its body language. The Cincinnati final was just one case where we could take advantage of body language where we saw djokovic really tired. There are players that usually do a lot of bad body language but they still play well. But for Djokovic is another history. In this case, i saw Djokovic with a very bad face in the end of first set and i stayed with my position in Murray. That is why its important to take notes everyday and build a profile for each player and this way we will be able to take advantage of these situations.

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Today i would like to talk about one of the most common errors that new traders do in tennis.
Backing an inconsistent position at very low odds. You have to be careful, especially in the weeks before grand slams where players rest more and dont put 100 % most of times. My opinion is that you can back every price as long as it has value for you, but you cant back for a long time at least weak positions like this for example:

In the third set the underdog breaks and leads 3.1 and she is now @ 1.28
First of all its third set and if you are starting trading its better to avoid third sets
Second, The underdog has 3 games left to won the set. In three games she will have problems at least in one or two if the dog is a decent player. What i want to tell you is that you have to be careful backing low prices in an inconsistent market.

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New experiences

I am using Bet Angel lately. Its a great software and have some good functions for my football strategies. I am doing more football trading lately and the software really helps in some automatic functions. For tennis the software is decent but in my opinion there are a lot of things to improve for tennis trading. I prefer this software rather then geeks toy because it has not so many windows and it has some automatic functions like i said before. Some people prefer Geeks for the multiple windows. I am studing more football markets and in the future i may post something about it.

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Free time section

Music

In the last weekend, saturday, was at the disco and dj started to play old Linkin Park music. I'm a big fan of their work. Always good to remember those songs.

Linkin Park Youtube

http://www.youtube.com/artist/Linkin_Park?feature=watch_video_title

Movie

I watched "Captain America" one of these days but didnt like it. The trailer was very good but i think the movie doesnt have a lot of action in some parts. For example when they discover the dark side factories and want to conquer them, they summarize it a lot.

I dont have any idea for this week movie but i checked imdb top 250 for a movie that i watched and liked.
(http://www.imdb.com/chart/top)

This one is very very good.
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0253474/